
科学技术与工程

中国技术经济学会
Temporal-spatial Graph Network Model with BiMamba2 and Non-local Attention for Photovoltaic Cluster Power Prediction
Jia-rong SHI , Jiao-jiao WANG , Xue-juan LI
Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2026, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (26) : 11318 -11325.
With the increasing penetration of PV (photovoltaic) power generation, accurate prediction of PV output is essential for grid stability and power accommodation. However, traditional time series forecasting methods exhibit limited capability in characterizing the complex dynamics of PV power, while existing graph neural network based spatiotemporal forecasting models still face certain challenges in capturing long-term temporal dependencies and global spatial correlations, particularly in multi-step forecasting where error accumulation easily occurs. To address these limitations, an improved spatiotemporal graph neural network model, termed MTGNN-BiMamba2-NL, was proposed. Within MTGNN (multivariate time series forecasting framework based on graph neural networks), the temporal convolution module was replaced by a bidirectional state space model (BiMamba2) to enhance long-term temporal feature extraction. Meanwhile, a NL (Non-local) attention was incorporated after the graph convolution layers to strengthen the modeling of global spatial correlations among sites. Experiments were conducted on two real-world PV datasets. The results demonstrate that the proposed model effectively alleviates error accumulation in multi-step forecasting and achieves superior prediction accuracy and stability compared with existing baseline methods.
photovoltaic power forecasting / multivariate time series / graph neural network / non-local attention / BiMamba2
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