Extremely Short-term Prediction Method and Applicability Analysis of Seaplane Motion Based on Time Series Model

Run-song ZHOU , Ai-hua WU , Wei ZHANG , Jue GONG

Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (18) : 7859 -7865.

PDF
Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (18) : 7859-7865 DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404967
research-article
Extremely Short-term Prediction Method and Applicability Analysis of Seaplane Motion Based on Time Series Model
Author information +
History +
PDF

Abstract

The extremely short-term prediction of seaplane motion can provide the rocking motion posture over the next few seconds, which is considered essential for ensuring safety during take-off and landing phases under adverse wind and wave conditions. Although some research has been conducted on extremely short-term prediction methods for seaplane motion, limited attention has been given to analyzing differences in the applicability of various methods. In this context, the NACA TN 2929 aircraft was taken as an example, and the three degree of freedom motion simulation data under typical working conditions were calculated based on potential flow theory. To compare the forecasting performance under different forecasting conditions, three typical extremely short-term prediction of seaplane motion models, namely AR (auto-regressive), LSTM (long short term memory), and TCN (temporal convolutional network), were constructed. The results show that compared to the AR model, the LSTM and TCN neural network models exhibit superior forecasting accuracy for longer prediction durations, effectively enabling accurate predictions of the heave, roll, and pitch motions of the seaplane at the ten-second level, providing a valuable theoretical reference for the selection of seaplane motion prediction algorithms.

Keywords

extremely short-term prediction of seaplane motion / auto-regressive model / long short term memory network / temporal convolutional network

Cite this article

Download citation ▾
Run-song ZHOU, Ai-hua WU, Wei ZHANG, Jue GONG. Extremely Short-term Prediction Method and Applicability Analysis of Seaplane Motion Based on Time Series Model. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025, 25(18): 7859-7865 DOI:10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404967

登录浏览全文

4963

注册一个新账户 忘记密码

References

Funding

PDF (7183KB)

18

Accesses

0

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/

〈 〉