Risk Analysis of UAV Operation Based on BT-BN

Fu-qiang QI , Xiao-yang ZHANG , Shu-ning CHEN , Ming-yuan MENG , Feng ZHU

Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (20) : 8745 -8752.

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Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (20) : 8745-8752 DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404317
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Risk Analysis of UAV Operation Based on BT-BN
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Abstract

In order to effectively evaluate and control the operational risks of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), based on the summary of various risk factors of UAV ground impact, the possible causes of UAV ground impact were analyzed, corresponding control measures were determined, and a safety barrier model combining risk analysis and control technology was established. It can clearly display the logical relationship between the causes of UAV operation safety, mitigation measures and accident consequences. Bow-tie(BT) model was mapped to Bayesian network (BN), each element of BT model was quantified, and the probability of unsafe events was calculated. The results show that the model can clearly show the risk control process and effectively reduce the operational risk of UAV. It provides an efficient and practical method for the operational risk assessment and control of UAV.

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unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) / operational risk / bow-tie(BT) / Bayesian network(BN) / risk control

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Fu-qiang QI, Xiao-yang ZHANG, Shu-ning CHEN, Ming-yuan MENG, Feng ZHU. Risk Analysis of UAV Operation Based on BT-BN. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025, 25(20): 8745-8752 DOI:10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404317

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