Establishment of Total Organic Carbon Prediction Method for Shale Reservoirs Using Improved Adaboost-WOA-BP Model: A Case Study of X Area in Longmaxi Formation, Sichuan Basin

Zhen-ming CHEN , Rui-jie XIE , Hong-chang PENG , Yao LI , Yong-qiang CAO

Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2) : 494 -501.

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Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2) : 494-501 DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402873
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Establishment of Total Organic Carbon Prediction Method for Shale Reservoirs Using Improved Adaboost-WOA-BP Model: A Case Study of X Area in Longmaxi Formation, Sichuan Basin
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Abstract

The total organic carbon content in shale reservoirs is a crucial parameter for assessing hydrocarbon generation potential and shale gas enrichment. Accurate prediction of TOC(total organic carbon) is essential for oil and gas exploration and development. Conventional linear regression methods are limited in their predictive accuracy due to the complex nonlinear relationships among regional and well logging data. To address this issue, a prediction model based on Adaboost-WOA-BP was proposed for predicting TOC content. This model integrates WOA(whale optimization algorithm) optimized Backpropagation neural networks as weak learners within the Adaboost framework to construct a strong learner. Use of optimal natural gamma, density, acoustic time difference, and other sensitive logging parameters associated with TOC content calculation as inputs for the prediction model. Compared to conventional linear regression, BP neural networks and WOA-BP neural networks, the Adaboost-WOA-BP model demonstrates higher predictive accuracy, achieving a 95% match between predicted and measured TOC values.

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neural networks / TOC content prediction / whale optimization algorithm / ensemble algorithm

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Zhen-ming CHEN, Rui-jie XIE, Hong-chang PENG, Yao LI, Yong-qiang CAO. Establishment of Total Organic Carbon Prediction Method for Shale Reservoirs Using Improved Adaboost-WOA-BP Model: A Case Study of X Area in Longmaxi Formation, Sichuan Basin. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025, 25(2): 494-501 DOI:10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402873

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