Debris-flow Susceptibility Assessment in Yongsheng County Based on Gray Relational Analysis-information Volume Method

Kang-tai CHANG , Zhi-fang ZHAO , Qiao-mu MOU , Yong-lin YANG , Yun-fei HU , Yang QIN

Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (3) : 933 -941.

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Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (3) : 933-941 DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402860
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Debris-flow Susceptibility Assessment in Yongsheng County Based on Gray Relational Analysis-information Volume Method
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Abstract

In order to study the disaster susceptibility of debris flow in Yongsheng County, the research area was Yongsheng County of Lijiang City, Yunnan Province, and it was divided into 475 sub-watershed units. Grey correlation analysis method was used to calculate the correlation degree of each factor, and the factor with the lowest correlation degree was eliminated. The independence of factors was tested by collinearity diagnosis. In the end, eight factors including average slope, average annual maximum rainfall, average vegetation coverage, average elevation, average melton ratio, average water system density, average landslide core density and average road density were retained. The information volume of the factors was calculated by the information volume method, and the correlation degree value was taken as the weight value of the superposition of each factor. The grey correlation analysis-information volume model was further constructed to carry out the evaluation research on the vulnerability of debris flow in Yongsheng County. The results show this as follows. The requency ratio of debris flow disaster points in the extremely vulnerable area is as high as 4.06, and the area under the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve is 0.818, indicating that the selected eight factors and the grey correlation analysation-information volume method have good forecasting ability for the evaluation of debris flow disaster vulnerability. The results can also be used as reference for the prevention and control of debris flow disaster in Yongsheng County.

Keywords

debris-flow / gray relational analysis / information volume method / unit factors of catchments / susceptibility assessment / Yongsheng County

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Kang-tai CHANG, Zhi-fang ZHAO, Qiao-mu MOU, Yong-lin YANG, Yun-fei HU, Yang QIN. Debris-flow Susceptibility Assessment in Yongsheng County Based on Gray Relational Analysis-information Volume Method. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025, 25(3): 933-941 DOI:10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402860

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