Prediction of Shared Bicycle Inflow and Outflow Based on Conv3D-GRU Neural Network

Xian-guang JIA , Huan LIU , Chao-qin FENG , Ying-ying LÜ

Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (5) : 2127 -2134.

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Science Technology and Engineering ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (5) : 2127-2134 DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2401851
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Prediction of Shared Bicycle Inflow and Outflow Based on Conv3D-GRU Neural Network
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Abstract

Accurately predicting bike-sharing flow is essential for optimizing the supply-demand balance of shared bikes and enhancing urban residents' travel convenience. To address the issues of low prediction accuracy and insufficient capture of spatiotemporal characteristics in bike-sharing flow prediction, a hybrid convolutional-recurrent neural network (Conv3D-GRU) model was proposed. Using Chicago's 2022 full-year bike-sharing data, experiments were conducted, and the results were compared with those of the 3D convolutional neural network (3D-CNN) model and the convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) model. The model performance was evaluated using root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination(R2). Experimental results show that compared with the 3D-CNN and ConvLSTM models, Conv3D-GRU is improved by 3.25%, 4.90%, 1.14% and 11.94%, 13.70% and 2.46% on RMSE, MAE and R2, respectively. This demonstrates that the Conv3D-GRU model has lower prediction errors and higher prediction accuracy, making it an effective and reliable approach for forecasting bike-sharing inflow and outflow.

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urban transportation / access flow prediction / Conv3D-GRU / bicycle sharing / spatio-temporal properties

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Xian-guang JIA, Huan LIU, Chao-qin FENG, Ying-ying LÜ. Prediction of Shared Bicycle Inflow and Outflow Based on Conv3D-GRU Neural Network. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025, 25(5): 2127-2134 DOI:10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2401851

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