融合多尺度特征与软分配对比约束的日负荷曲线深度嵌入聚类方法
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上海电力大学

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TM714;TP311.13

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国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


A Multi-scale Contrastive Deep Embedded Clustering Method for Daily Load Curves
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上海电力大学

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    摘要:

    日负荷曲线聚类是识别用户用电模式和开展分群负荷预测的重要基础。针对现有深度嵌入聚类(deep embedded clustering,DEC)方法在日负荷曲线峰谷特征、多时间尺度波动特征提取及嵌入空间判别性方面存在不足的问题,构建一种多尺度特征注意力对比深度嵌入聚类(multi-scale feature attention contrastive learning deep embedded clustering,MFA-CL-DEC)模型。该模型融合多尺度卷积注意力与软分配对比约束,用于提升日负荷曲线嵌入特征的表达能力和可分性。模型首先利用多尺度卷积结构提取日负荷曲线的局部与整体特征,并通过时序注意力机制自适应突出关键时段信息;然后采用K-means++初始化聚类中心,基于软分配概率构造目标分布并优化聚类损失;在此基础上,利用聚类软分配结果动态构造正负样本关系,引入对比损失,从样本间关系角度增强嵌入空间的类内紧凑性和类间分离性。基于爱尔兰公开负荷数据集的实验结果表明,所提方法在DBI、CHI和SC等指标上优于对比模型。消融实验和可视化结果验证了多尺度特征提取与软分配对比约束的有效性。进一步将聚类结果用于分群负荷预测,预测误差较无分群、随机分群和DCEC-1D分群预测均有所降低,说明该方法可为用户用电模式识别和分群预测提供有效支撑。

    Abstract:

    Daily load curve clustering is an important basis for identifying user electricity consumption patterns and group load forecasting. To address the insufficient extraction of peak-valley and multi-time-scale fluctuation features, as well as the weak discriminability of the embedding space in existing deep embedded clustering methods, a multi-scale feature attention contrastive learning deep embedded clustering (MFA-CL-DEC) model was constructed. Multi-scale convolutional attention and soft-assignment contrastive constraints were integrated to improve feature representation and separability. Local and global features of daily load curves were extracted by multi-scale convolution. Key time-period information was highlighted by a temporal attention mechanism. Clustering centers were initialized by K-means++. The target distribution was constructed based on soft assignment probabilities, and the clustering loss was optimized. Positive and negative sample pairs were dynamically constructed according to clustering soft assignment results. A contrastive loss was introduced to enhance intra-cluster compactness and inter-cluster separation. Experiments were conducted on the Irish public load dataset. The results show that the proposed method outperforms the comparison models in terms of DBI, CHI, and SC. Ablation experiments and visualization results verify the effectiveness of multi-scale feature extraction and soft-assignment contrastive constraints. The clustering results are further used for group load forecasting. The prediction errors are lower than those of the non-clustering, random-grouping, and DCEC-1D grouping forecasting. The proposed method provides effective support for user electricity consumption pattern identification and group load forecasting.

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郑康,孙玉芹. 融合多尺度特征与软分配对比约束的日负荷曲线深度嵌入聚类方法[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-18
  • 最后修改日期:2026-09-04
  • 录用日期:2026-09-29
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