基于联合智能化的舰载雷达退化故障预测方法
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作者单位:

1.海军大连舰艇学院;2.海军大连舰艇学院信息系统系

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TN956

基金项目:

辽宁省自然科学基金(2024-BS-316);海军大连舰艇学院青年人才托举基金(DJYKYQT2025-007)


Degradation Fault Prediction Method for Shipborne Radar Based on Combined Intelligence
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1.College of Information Systems, Dalian Naval Academy;2.College of Information Systems,Dalian Naval Academy

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    摘要:

    针对当前舰载雷达退化故障预测方法存在的样本总量大、故障样本需求量多、需进行故障特征提取、需人工设置故障阈值、需明确故障与故障数据间相关性等问题,本文提出了一种基于联合智能化的舰载雷达退化故障预测方法。该方法考虑到舰载雷达数据采集实时性的特点,提出了动态更新长短期记忆网络(Dynamic Updated-Long Short Term Memory, DU-LSTM)数据预测方法,在对峰值功率数据进行预测时,相比传统静态数据预测方法的均方根误差降低了0.31541kW,有效提高了数据预测精度;在高精度数据预测基础上,针对舰载雷达故障样本难以获取的限制条件,将多元高斯分布无监督模型与DU-LSTM模型进行联合,对预测数据进行故障异常检测,通过设置不同退化故障预测实验验证了联合智能化方法的可行性和可移植性,结果表明本文方法能够至少提前16个时间采样间隔对退化故障进行预测并告警,并且该方法在样本量、故障阈值设置、故障特征提取以及告警时间几个方面均优于现有退化故障预测方法。

    Abstract:

    In response to the problems of large sample size, high demand for fault samples, need for fault feature extraction, need for manual setting of fault thresholds, and need to clarify the correlation between faults and fault data in current methods for predicting degradation faults in shipborne radar, a degradation fault prediction method for shipborne radar based on combined intelligence is proposed. Considering the real-time characteristics of shipborne radar data acquisition, a Dynamic Updated-Long Short Term Memory (DU-LSTM) data prediction method is proposed. When using this method to predict peak power, the root-mean-square error is reduced by 0.31541kW compared with the traditional static data prediction method, which effectively improves the data prediction accuracy. On the basis of high-precision data prediction, in order to address the limitation of difficult acquisition of shipborne radar fault samples, the multivariate Gaussian unsupervised model and the DU-LSTM model are combined to detect faults and anomalies in the predicted data. The feasibility and portability of the combined intelligence method are verified by setting different degradation fault prediction experiments. The experimental results show that the proposed method can predict and alarm degradation faults at least 16 time sampling intervals in advance, and this method is superior to the existing degradation fault prediction methods in terms of sample size, fault threshold setting, fault feature extraction and alarm time.

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翟玉婷,王梓丞,李家森,等. 基于联合智能化的舰载雷达退化故障预测方法[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

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  • 收稿日期:2026-05-07
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-11
  • 录用日期:2026-08-01
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