融合STPA和交互关系分析网络的工程事故致因机理
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.同济大学土木工程学院;2.同济大学上海自主智能无人系统科学中心;3.中国地质大学武汉经济管理学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

X948

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划(2024YFC3811100);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2024-1-ZD-02);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(CUG2642022006)


Causation mechanism of construction accidents based on the integration of STPA and interactive relationship analysis network
Author:
Affiliation:

1.College of Civil Engineering,Tongji University;2.Shanghai Research Institute for Intelligent Autonomous Systems,Tongji University;3.School of Economics and Management,China University of Geosciences

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    当前建筑施工安全生产形势严峻,安全事故频发且总量仍处高位。为提升施工安全管理水平,有效预防施工安全事故,本文基于系统理论过程分析(system theory process analysis,STPA)与改进复杂网络方法,提出了一种针对多参建主体交互关系的事故致因机理分析框架,旨在揭示典型事故类型与等级中多参建主体的交互关系及其耦合效应。首先,执行事故STPA步骤,基于2013年至2023年期间从中国政府网站收集的1 467起工程事故案例,提取每起事故中记录的事故等级、事故类型、不安全控制行为(unsafe control actions,UCA)和导致不安全控制行为产生的原因,构建事故-行为-致因分析网络。其次,提出引入比值比(odds ratio, OR)的改进复杂网络方法,评估UCA与致因因素、致因因素之间的关联强度。最后,通过复杂网络的参数分析,挖掘多主体间交互关系及其耦合效应在典型事故中的致因机理。结果表明:在参建主体交互关系中,未落实安全生产责任(F331)是导致事故的重要致因,与现场管理不到位(F111)具有强耦合效应,通过耦合未采取安全防护(B10)引发安全事故。本研究从多参建主体交互关系的新视角,系统分析了建筑工程事故的致因机理,强化施工安全生产与职责管理,为建筑安全管理研究提供新思路与方法。

    Abstract:

    Construction safety remains a critical issue, with the total number of safety accidents continuing to be alarmingly high and frequent. In order to improve construction safety management and effectively prevent accidents, a novel accident causation mechanism analysis framework is proposed based on STPA and an improved complex network model. This framework aims to reveal the mutual feedback relationships between multiple construction stakeholders and their causation mechanisms. The framework is designed to reveal the interactions and coupling effects among multiple construction stakeholders in typical levels and types of accidents. First, STPA is applied to analyze 1 467 construction accident cases collected from Chinese government websites between 2013 and 2023. The accident level, type, UCA, and causes leading to the UCA are extracted to construct an accident-behavior-causation network. Second, an improved complex network incorporating OR is proposed to more accurately assess the strength of associations between causal factors, reflecting the feedback relationships among stakeholders. Finally, the topological parameters of the complex network are analyzed to explore the causal mechanisms across typical accident scenarios. The analysis reveals that among the interactions and coupling effects of construction stakeholders, the lack of responsibility for safety(F331) is a key causal factor leading to accidents. It has a strong coupling effects with insufficient site management(F111), which results in safety accidents by coupling the failure to implement necessary safety precautions(B10). This study systematically analyzes the causal mechanism of construction accidents from the novel perspective of mutual feedback relationships among multiple stakeholders. It emphasizes the importance of reinforcing construction safety and responsibility management. The findings provide new insights and methodologies for advancing research in construction safety management.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

卢昱杰,石瑾怡,郭聖煜,等. 融合STPA和交互关系分析网络的工程事故致因机理[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

复制
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-25
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-14
  • 录用日期:2026-07-27
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
×
2026年会通知 | “技术经济学驱动智能经济生态构建与治理变革”——中国技术经济学会第三十三届学术年会(2026)会议通知暨征文启事(第一轮)
亟待确认版面费归属稿件,敬请作者关注