融合多算法协同优化与双解释框架的集成学习边坡稳定性智能预测可视化分析
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

昆明理工大学 国土资源工程学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

TD 804

基金项目:

国家自然科学(42302313);云南省教育厅高校服务重点产业科技项目(FWCY-QYCT2024009);云南省“兴滇英才支持计划” 青年人才项目(KKXX202521023)


Intelligent Prediction, Visualization and Analysis for Slope Stability Based on Ensemble Learning with Multi-Algorithm Optimization and Dual Interpretability Framework
Author:
Affiliation:

Faculty of Land Resource Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    边坡稳定性分析是岩土工程中的关键课题,然而传统评估方法存在一定局限性,难以充分刻画影响因素间复杂的非线性关系。为此,提出一种基于多种优化算法融合的智能边坡稳定性预测模型,以提升预测精度与模型可解释性。首先,对比八种常用机器学习模型,确定随机森林为最优基准模型;进而引入肺性能优化算法、黄金正弦算法与黏菌算法,对其超参数进行协同优化,以进一步提高预测性能。随后,采用集成学习方法,通过分级网格搜索优化集成模型超参数,将其与单一模型进行对比,结果表明集成模型在精度与稳定性方面均具有显著优势。为增强模型可解释性,采用SHAP与LIME方法解析各特征对预测结果的贡献度,并明确关键影响因素及其排序。实验结果显示,经超参数优化后的随机森林模型准确率达到0.9359,而集成模型性能更优,准确率提升至0.9487,且在F1分数与精确率等指标上均表现良好。最后,开发了一套集成数据可视化与稳定性预测功能的软件系统,可为边坡稳定性提供快速、准确的智能评估支持。

    Abstract:

    Slope stability analysis is regarded as a critical issue in geotechnical engineering. However, inherent limitations exist in traditional evaluation methods, and complex nonlinear relationships among influencing factors cannot be fully characterized. Therefore, an intelligent prediction model for slope stability based on the integration of multiple optimization algorithms is proposed to improve prediction accuracy and model interpretability. First, eight widely used machine learning models were compared, and the random forest model was selected as the optimal baseline model. Then, its hyperparameters were collaboratively optimized using the Lung Performance Optimization algorithm, the Golden Sine Algorithm, and the Slime Mould Algorithm to further enhance predictive performance. Subsequently, an ensemble learning strategy was adopted, and the corresponding hyperparameters were optimized using a successive halving grid search approach. The ensemble model was compared with individual models, and it is indicated that superior performance in both accuracy and stability is achieved. To improve model interpretability, the SHAP and LIME methods are employed to quantify feature contributions to prediction results and to identify key influencing factors and their relative importance. It is shown that the optimized random forest model achieves an accuracy of 0.9359, while better performance is achieved by the ensemble model, with an accuracy of 0.9487 and favorable F1-score and precision. Finally, a software system integrating data visualization and slope stability prediction functions is developed. Efficient and reliable support is provided by the system for intelligent slope stability evaluation.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

吴顺川,曹一凡,韩龙强,等. 融合多算法协同优化与双解释框架的集成学习边坡稳定性智能预测可视化分析[J]. 科学技术与工程, , ():

复制
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-06
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-20
  • 录用日期:2026-05-09
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
×
2026年会通知 | “技术经济学驱动智能经济生态构建与治理变革”——中国技术经济学会第三十三届学术年会(2026)会议通知暨征文启事(第一轮)
亟待确认版面费归属稿件,敬请作者关注