基于源-荷不确定性的光储系统容量配置优化: 以长沙农村住宅为例
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TM615

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国家自然科学基金青年项目(52408100);湖南省自然科学基金青年项目(2023JJ40038)


Capcity allocation optimization of rural residential photovoltaic-storage system based on generation-load uncertainties
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    摘要:

    针对源-荷不确定性对光储系统容量配置的影响,提出了一种考虑气象参数、建筑内扰、人员密度、空调系统不确定性的多目标优化方法,以系统年度运行成本最小、自耗率SCR和自给率SSR最大为目标,构建农村住宅光储系统多目标优化模型,采用改进自适应权重粒子群优化算法进行求解。结果表明:建筑平均负荷和峰值负荷的最大值和最小值相对偏差分别为41.08%和71.65%,光伏发电峰值功率、平均功率和全年发电量的最大值和最小值相对偏差分别为3.55%、23.65%和23.91%;多目标优化方法可以找到光伏和电池容量的最优组合;根据相对偏差7%以内出现频率最多的SCR和SSR作为光储系统技术性能指标的代表值,得到了长沙地区农村住宅的光伏和电池容量配置指标。

    Abstract:

    Aiming at the influence of generation-load uncertainties on the capacity configuration of the photovoltaic storage system, a multi-objective optimization method considering uncertainties in meteorological parameters, building disturbance factors, personnel density, and air-conditioning system is proposed,constructing a multi-objective optimization model of the rural residential photovoltaic storage system with the objectives of minimizing the annual operating cost of the system and maximizing the self-consumption rate SCR and the self-supply rate SSR, and the modified adaptive weighted particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to solve the problem. The results show that: the relative deviations of the maximum and minimum values of the average and peak loads of the building are 41.08% and 71.65%, respectively, and the relative deviations of the maximum and minimum values of the peak power, average power, and annual power generation of PV are 3.55%, 23.65%, and 23.91%, respectively; The optimal combination of photovoltaic and battery capacity can be found using multi-objective optimization methods; By adopting the SCR and SSR with the highest frequency of occurrence within a relative deviation of 7% as representative values for the technical performance indicators of the PV-storage system, the capacity allocation indicators for photovoltaic and battery storage in rural residential buildings in the Changsha area were derived.

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何叶从,向文杰,李思慧,等. 基于源-荷不确定性的光储系统容量配置优化: 以长沙农村住宅为例[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2026, 26(24): 10435-10445.
He ye-cong, Xiang wen-jie, Li si-hui, et al. Capcity allocation optimization of rural residential photovoltaic-storage system based on generation-load uncertainties[J]. Science Technology and Engineering,2026,26(24):10435-10445.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-10-10
  • 最后修改日期:2026-06-12
  • 录用日期:2025-12-16
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-02
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