考虑岩土参数空间变异性的库岸危岩灾变机制: 以巫峡板壁岩危岩为例
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TV223

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国家重点研发计划(2024YFC3211202, 2024YFC3211204),国家自然科学基金(52308340),中国博后面上基金(2024M753842)


Catastrophic mechanism of unstable rock masses on reservoir banks considering spatial variability of geotechnical parameters: Banbiyan Unstable Rock Mass in Wuxia Gorge
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    摘要:

    三峡库区水位的周期性波动导致高陡库岸危岩非线性灾变演化机制的确定非常困难,尤其是在考虑岩体非均质力学特征的条件下。在综合现场勘察的基础上,本文引入高斯随机场来刻画巫山板壁岩危岩的物理力学参数空间变异性,采用强度折减法对不同库水位下库岸危岩的动态稳定性进行了分析。结果表明,在考虑岩体参数随机性的情况下,板壁岩的稳定性呈现波动趋势,其危岩临界破坏面分布范围进一步扩大,体现了主控结构面对危岩整体稳定性的影响;危岩稳定性的平均值降幅约为2%~5%,当库水位为175m时,其最大降幅可达12%;随着库水位升降次数的增加,岩土体力学空间变异性将会持续增大,可能会进一步提高危岩崩塌失稳的不确定性。相较于常规库岸危岩分析方法,随机场的引入可以更真实地反映危岩体对于复杂力学环境的动态响应机制,对于三峡库区及类似条件下库岸危岩的风险防控具有重要参考价值。

    Abstract:

    The periodic water-level fluctuations in the Three Gorges Reservoir pose significant challenges to clarifying the nonlinear catastrophic failure mechanisms of unstable rock masses on steep reservoir banks, particularly when considering their heterogeneous mechanical properties. Based on comprehensive field investigations, this study employs Gaussian random fields to characterize the spatial variability of the physical and mechanical parameters of the Banbiyan Unstable Rock Mass in Wushan. The strength reduction method is applied to analyze the dynamic stability of unstable rock masses under different reservoir water-level conditions. It indicates that accounting for parameter randomness leads to fluctuating stability outcomes, with the distribution of critical failure surfaces becoming more extensive, thereby underscoring the controlling influence of structural planes on overall stability. On average, the factor of safety decreases by 2% to 5%, with a maximum reduction of 12% at the 175 m water level. Furthermore, multiple water-level fluctuations exacerbate the spatial variability of rock–soil properties, amplifying the uncertainty of collapse initiation. Compared to conventional stability analysis methods, the random field-based approach provides a more realistic representation of the dynamic response of unstable rock masses on reservoir banks under complex hydro-mechanical environments. This approach provides significant reference value for risk management and stability evaluation in the Three Gorges Reservoir and similar settings.

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方祥位,王一龙,王鲁琦,等. 考虑岩土参数空间变异性的库岸危岩灾变机制: 以巫峡板壁岩危岩为例[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2026, 26(24): 10556-10568.
Fang Xiangwei, Wang Yilong, Wang Luqi, et al. Catastrophic mechanism of unstable rock masses on reservoir banks considering spatial variability of geotechnical parameters: Banbiyan Unstable Rock Mass in Wuxia Gorge[J]. Science Technology and Engineering,2026,26(24):10556-10568.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-15
  • 最后修改日期:2026-06-15
  • 录用日期:2025-12-16
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-02
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