基于数字孪生与ResTCN-BiGRU-Attention模型的空心阴极剩余寿命预测
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V467

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国防科工局重点实验室(HTKJ2023KL510007)


Digital Twin-Assisted ResTCN-BIGRU-Attention Model for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Hollow Cathodes
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    摘要:

    空心阴极作为离子推力器系统的核心部件,发挥着为离子推力器点火和维持放电的作用,其功能结构件在长期工作中也会逐渐损耗,进而引起推力器系统失效。为了有效提高离子推进系统的可靠性,降低系统的失效风险,本文提出一种基于数字孪生辅助残差时序-双向门控制注意力(ResTCN-BIGRU-Attention)模型对六硼化镧(LaB6)空心阴极剩余寿命预测的框架。首先,分析空心阴极的工作机制,利用数字孪生技术构建动态仿真模型以获取高保真模拟数据。随后,引入子域自适应机制,通过最小化模拟与真实数据间细粒度特征的差异对齐子域的条件分布。最后,采用ResTCN-BIGRU-Atten模型预测空心阴极的剩余寿命。实验结果表明,该模型在均方误差、均方根误差、平均绝对误差和决定系数4项指标上分别达到0.055、0.2347、0.1514和0.98738,预测效果显著优于其他方法。

    Abstract:

    The hollow cathode, as the core component of an ion thruster system, plays a critical role in ignition and sustaining discharge for the thruster. However, its functional structural components gradually degrade during prolonged operation, ultimately leading to system failure. To effectively enhance the reliability of ion propulsion systems and mitigate operational risks, this study proposes a digital twin-assisted residual temporal convolutional network–bidirectional gated recurrent unit–attention (ResTCN-BiGRU-Attention) model framework for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lanthanum hexaboride (LaB?) hollow cathodes. First, the working mechanism of hollow cathodes is analyzed, and a dynamic simulation model is constructed using digital twin technology to obtain high-fidelity simulated data. Then, a subdomain adaptation mechanism is introduced to align the conditional distributions of fine-grained features by minimizing the discrepancy between simulated and real-world data. Finally, the ResTCN-BIGRU-Atten model is applied to predict the RUL of hollow cathodes. Experimental results show that the proposed model achieves superior performance in four evaluation metrics: mean squared error, root mean squared error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination reaching 0.055, 0.2347, 0.1514, and 0.98738, respectively. The prediction accuracy is significantly better than that of other methods.

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陈琳英,张艳琴,石慧,等. 基于数字孪生与ResTCN-BiGRU-Attention模型的空心阴极剩余寿命预测[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2026, 26(26): 11501-11513.
Chen Linying, Zhang Yanqin, Shi Hui, et al. Digital Twin-Assisted ResTCN-BIGRU-Attention Model for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Hollow Cathodes[J]. Science Technology and Engineering,2026,26(26):11501-11513.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-02
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-09
  • 录用日期:2026-02-28
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-29
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